| Date/Time | Matchup | Prediction | Actual | Result |
|---|
| 12/23/2020 7 PM |  Miami Heat @ Orlando Magic 
by 4.5 | Miami Heat win 112.3-107.2 won 62.05% of sims, average margin of 5.0
| Orlando Magic wins 113-107
|  |
| 12/25/2020 12 PM |  New Orleans Pelicans @ Miami Heat
by 3.5 | New Orleans Pelicans win 112.2-110.2 won 56.02% of sims, average margin of 1.9
| Miami Heat wins 111-98
| |
| 12/29/2020 7:30 PM |  Milwaukee Bucks @ Miami Heat
by 5.5 | Milwaukee Bucks win 123.9-119.2 won 60.84% of sims, average margin of 4.7
| Milwaukee Bucks wins 144-97
|  |
| 12/30/2020 7:30 PM | Milwaukee Bucks @ Miami Heat
by 6.5 | Milwaukee Bucks win 119.9-107.5 won 73.33% of sims, average margin of 12.5
| Miami Heat wins 119-108
| |
| 1/1/2021 7 PM | Miami Heat @ Dallas Mavericks 
by 1.5 | Dallas Mavericks win 115.8-102.2 won 77.21% of sims, average margin of 13.6
| Dallas Mavericks wins 93-83
|   |
| 1/4/2021 7:30 PM |  Oklahoma City Thunder @ Miami Heat
by 9 | Miami Heat win 104.8-100.3 won 58.43% of sims, average margin of 4.6
| Miami Heat wins 118-90
| |
| 1/6/2021 7:30 PM |  Boston Celtics @ Miami Heat
by 2.5 | Boston Celtics win 117.3-105.2 won 73.40% of sims, average margin of 12.2
| Boston Celtics wins 107-105
| |
| 1/9/2021 7 PM | Miami Heat @ Washington Wizards 
by 10.5 | Washington Wizards win 116.5-107.2 won 69.66% of sims, average margin of 9.3
| Miami Heat wins 128-124
| |
| 1/12/2021 7 PM | Miami Heat @ Philadelphia 76ers 
by 8.5 | Philadelphia 76ers win 108.0-104.7 won 58.97% of sims, average margin of 3.3
| Philadelphia 76ers wins 137-134
| |
| 1/14/2021 7:30 PM | Miami Heat @ Philadelphia 76ers
by 7.5 | Philadelphia 76ers win 113.7-108.1 won 61.60% of sims, average margin of 5.7
| Philadelphia 76ers wins 125-108
| |
| 1/16/2021 8 PM |  Detroit Pistons @ Miami Heat
by 5.5 | Miami Heat win 123.6-105.8 won 83.28% of sims, average margin of 17.7
| Detroit Pistons wins 120-100
| |
| 1/18/2021 8 PM | Detroit Pistons @ Miami Heat
by 6 | Miami Heat win 113.2-107.6 won 60.76% of sims, average margin of 5.5
| Miami Heat wins 113-107
| |
| 1/20/2021 7:30 PM | Miami Heat @ Toronto Raptors 
by 4 | Toronto Raptors win 113.8-106.1 won 65.54% of sims, average margin of 7.7
| Miami Heat wins 111-102
| |
| 1/22/2021 7:30 PM | Miami Heat @ Toronto Raptors
by 2 | Toronto Raptors win 116.1-104.1 won 73.51% of sims, average margin of 12.1
| Toronto Raptors wins 101-81
| |
| 1/23/2021 7:30 PM | Miami Heat @ Brooklyn Nets 
by 8 | Brooklyn Nets win 123.7-116.1 won 66.41% of sims, average margin of 7.5
| Brooklyn Nets wins 128-124
| |
| 1/25/2021 7:30 PM | Miami Heat @ Brooklyn Nets
by 7.5 | Brooklyn Nets win 122.0-113.2 won 67.87% of sims, average margin of 8.9
| Brooklyn Nets wins 98-85
| |
| 1/27/2021 7:30 PM |  Denver Nuggets @ Miami Heat
by 6 | Denver Nuggets win 116.0-114.6 won 52.98% of sims, average margin of 1.4
| Denver Nuggets wins 109-82
| |
| 1/28/2021 7 PM |  Los Angeles Clippers @ Miami Heat
by 2.5 | Los Angeles Clippers win 116.1-110.7 won 63.58% of sims, average margin of 5.4
| Los Angeles Clippers wins 109-105
| |
| 1/30/2021 8 PM |  Sacramento Kings @ Miami Heat
by 6.5 | Miami Heat win 111.3-109.1 won 56.12% of sims, average margin of 2.2
| Miami Heat wins 105-104
| |
| 2/1/2021 7:30 PM |  Charlotte Hornets @ Miami Heat
by 7.5 | Charlotte Hornets win 111.1-111.0 won 49.70% of sims, average margin of 0.0
| Charlotte Hornets wins 129-121
| |
| 2/3/2021 8 PM | Washington Wizards @ Miami Heat
by 9 | Miami Heat win 115.5-112.4 won 55.99% of sims, average margin of 3.1
| Washington Wizards wins 103-100
| |
| 2/5/2021 8 PM | Washington Wizards @ Miami Heat
by 7 | Washington Wizards win 111.8-111.2 won 49.16% of sims, average margin of 0.6
| Miami Heat wins 122-95
| |
| 2/7/2021 1 PM | Miami Heat @ New York Knicks 
by 5.5 | New York Knicks win 108.1-104.1 won 58.10% of sims, average margin of 4.1
| Miami Heat wins 109-103
| |
| 2/9/2021 7:30 PM | New York Knicks @ Miami Heat
by 6 | Miami Heat win 105.8-104.3 won 55.27% of sims, average margin of 1.5
| Miami Heat wins 98-96
| |
| 2/11/2021 7:30 PM | Miami Heat @ Houston Rockets 
by 2 | Miami Heat win 107.7-106.2 won 52.27% of sims, average margin of 1.5
| Miami Heat wins 101-94
| |
| 2/13/2021 9 PM | Miami Heat @ Utah Jazz 
by 7 | Utah Jazz win 115.7-104.8 won 74.80% of sims, average margin of 10.9
| Utah Jazz wins 112-94
| |
| 2/15/2021 10 PM | Miami Heat @ Los Angeles Clippers
by 4.5 | Los Angeles Clippers win 117.4-101.7 won 80.99% of sims, average margin of 15.7
| Los Angeles Clippers wins 125-118
| |
| 2/17/2021 10 PM | Miami Heat @ Golden State Warriors 
by 1.5 | Golden State Warriors win 113.8-108.2 won 65.18% of sims, average margin of 5.6
| Golden State Warriors wins 120-112
| |
| 2/18/2021 10 PM | Miami Heat @ Sacramento Kings
by 1 | Sacramento Kings win 113.9-108.6 won 59.34% of sims, average margin of 5.2
| Miami Heat wins 118-110
| |
| 2/20/2021 8:30 PM | Miami Heat @ Los Angeles Lakers 
by 3.5 | Los Angeles Lakers win 115.5-105.4 won 71.75% of sims, average margin of 10.2
| Miami Heat wins 96-94
| |
| 2/22/2021 8 PM | Miami Heat @ Oklahoma City Thunder
by 7 | Oklahoma City Thunder win 112.6-106.9 won 61.77% of sims, average margin of 5.7
| Miami Heat wins 108-94
| |
| 2/24/2021 7:30 PM | Toronto Raptors @ Miami Heat
by 2 | Toronto Raptors win 113.3-112.0 won 53.54% of sims, average margin of 1.3
| Miami Heat wins 116-108
| |
| 2/26/2021 8 PM | Utah Jazz @ Miami Heat
by 6.5 | Utah Jazz win 113.7-110.4 won 58.66% of sims, average margin of 3.4
| Miami Heat wins 124-116
| |
| 2/28/2021 6 PM |  Atlanta Hawks @ Miami Heat
by 2.5 | Miami Heat win 112.3-110.4 won 53.95% of sims, average margin of 1.9
| Miami Heat wins 109-99
| |
| 3/2/2021 7:30 PM | Atlanta Hawks @ Miami Heat
by 2 | Miami Heat win 113.1-110.0 won 55.20% of sims, average margin of 3.2
| Atlanta Hawks wins 94-80
| |
| 3/4/2021 8:30 PM | Miami Heat @ New Orleans Pelicans
by 1.5 | New Orleans Pelicans win 115.5-108.6 won 65.77% of sims, average margin of 6.9
| Miami Heat wins 103-93
| |
| 3/11/2021 8 PM | Orlando Magic @ Miami Heat
by 9 | Miami Heat win 113.2-103.5 won 70.97% of sims, average margin of 9.7
| Miami Heat wins 111-103
| |
| 3/12/2021 9 PM | Miami Heat @ Chicago Bulls 
by 2 | Chicago Bulls win 117.2-111.9 won 60.73% of sims, average margin of 5.3
| Miami Heat wins 101-90
| |
| 3/14/2021 7 PM | Miami Heat @ Orlando Magic
by 7.5 | Orlando Magic win 108.6-108.5 won 50.61% of sims, average margin of 0.1
| Miami Heat wins 102-97
| |
| 3/16/2021 8 PM |  Cleveland Cavaliers @ Miami Heat
by 11 | Miami Heat win 114.2-104.1 won 69.68% of sims, average margin of 10.1
| Miami Heat wins 113-98
| |
| 3/17/2021 9 PM | Miami Heat @ Memphis Grizzlies 
by 1 | Memphis Grizzlies win 111.7-108.5 won 56.62% of sims, average margin of 3.2
| Memphis Grizzlies wins 89-85
| |
| 3/19/2021 8 PM |  Indiana Pacers @ Miami Heat
by 4 | Miami Heat win 112.4-111.5 won 52.48% of sims, average margin of 0.9
| Indiana Pacers wins 137-110
| |
| 3/21/2021 1 PM | Indiana Pacers @ Miami Heat
by 3.5 | Miami Heat win 113.8-112.5 won 54.30% of sims, average margin of 1.3
| Indiana Pacers wins 109-106
| |
| 3/23/2021 8 PM |  Phoenix Suns @ Miami Heat
by 2 | Phoenix Suns win 114.3-109.6 won 60.03% of sims, average margin of 4.7
| Phoenix Suns wins 110-100
| |
| 3/25/2021 7:30 PM |  Portland Trail Blazers @ Miami Heat
by 2.5 | Portland Trail Blazers win 113.6-113.5 won 48.77% of sims, average margin of 0.1
| Portland Trail Blazers wins 125-122
| |
| 3/26/2021 8 PM | Miami Heat @ Charlotte Hornets
by 2 | Charlotte Hornets win 114.6-112.0 won 56.30% of sims, average margin of 2.6
| Charlotte Hornets wins 110-105
| |
| 3/29/2021 7:30 PM | Miami Heat @ New York Knicks
by 3.5 | New York Knicks win 109.4-104.8 won 60.99% of sims, average margin of 4.5
| Miami Heat wins 98-88
| |
| 3/31/2021 7 PM | Miami Heat @ Indiana Pacers
by 1.5 | Indiana Pacers win 115.0-108.8 won 63.60% of sims, average margin of 6.2
| Miami Heat wins 92-87
| |
| 4/1/2021 8 PM | Golden State Warriors @ Miami Heat
by 3 | Miami Heat win 112.4-110.7 won 54.25% of sims, average margin of 1.7
| Miami Heat wins 116-109
| |
| 4/3/2021 8 PM | Cleveland Cavaliers @ Miami Heat
by 12.5 | Miami Heat win 109.7-103.4 won 65.85% of sims, average margin of 6.3
| Miami Heat wins 115-101
| |
| 4/6/2021 8 PM | Memphis Grizzlies @ Miami Heat
by 6.5 | Memphis Grizzlies win 111.1-111.0 won 48.75% of sims, average margin of 0.2
| Memphis Grizzlies wins 124-112
| |
| 4/8/2021 7:30 PM | Los Angeles Lakers @ Miami Heat
by 9.5 | Miami Heat win 107.4-103.5 won 59.50% of sims, average margin of 3.9
| Miami Heat wins 110-104
| |
| 4/11/2021 10 PM | Miami Heat @ Portland Trail Blazers
by 1 | Portland Trail Blazers win 119.9-109.0 won 73.92% of sims, average margin of 10.9
| Miami Heat wins 107-98
| |
| 4/11/2021 10 PM | Miami Heat @ Portland Trail Blazers
by 1 | Portland Trail Blazers win 119.3-109.9 won 70.12% of sims, average margin of 9.4
| Miami Heat wins 107-98
| |
| 4/13/2021 10 PM | Miami Heat @ Phoenix Suns
by 3.5 | Phoenix Suns win 117.7-106.4 won 73.91% of sims, average margin of 11.3
| Phoenix Suns wins 106-86
| |
| 4/14/2021 10 PM | Miami Heat @ Denver Nuggets
by 5 | Denver Nuggets win 116.7-108.0 won 70.62% of sims, average margin of 8.7
| Denver Nuggets wins 123-106
| |
| 4/16/2021 8 PM | Miami Heat @ Minnesota Timberwolves 
by 6.5 | Minnesota Timberwolves win 112.2-109.2 won 56.11% of sims, average margin of 3.0
| Minnesota Timberwolves wins 119-111
| |
| 4/18/2021 3:30 PM | Brooklyn Nets @ Miami Heat
by 5 | Brooklyn Nets win 118.3-112.8 won 61.63% of sims, average margin of 5.5
| Miami Heat wins 109-107
| |
| 4/19/2021 8 PM | Houston Rockets @ Miami Heat
by 5 | Miami Heat win 113.7-107.2 won 63.88% of sims, average margin of 6.5
| Miami Heat wins 113-91
| |
| 4/21/2021 8:30 PM | Miami Heat @ San Antonio Spurs 
by 1.5 | San Antonio Spurs win 114.7-110.3 won 60.67% of sims, average margin of 4.4
| Miami Heat wins 107-87
| |
| 4/23/2021 7:30 PM | Miami Heat @ Atlanta Hawks
by 6.5 | Atlanta Hawks win 114.4-109.1 won 62.99% of sims, average margin of 5.3
| Atlanta Hawks wins 118-103
| |
| 4/24/2021 8 PM | Chicago Bulls @ Miami Heat
by 4.5 | Miami Heat win 114.0-112.9 won 51.61% of sims, average margin of 1.1
| Miami Heat wins 106-101
| |
| 4/26/2021 8 PM | Chicago Bulls @ Miami Heat
by 6 | Miami Heat win 113.8-112.5 won 53.09% of sims, average margin of 1.4
| Chicago Bulls wins 110-102
| |
| 4/28/2021 8 PM | San Antonio Spurs @ Miami Heat
by 5 | Miami Heat win 115.5-110.0 won 63.19% of sims, average margin of 5.5
| Miami Heat wins 116-111
| |
| 5/1/2021 8 PM | Miami Heat @ Cleveland Cavaliers
by 11.5 | Miami Heat win 111.5-110.6 won 52.80% of sims, average margin of 0.9
| Miami Heat wins 124-107
| |
| 5/2/2021 8 PM | Miami Heat @ Charlotte Hornets
by 5.5 | Miami Heat win 112.5-109.2 won 55.56% of sims, average margin of 3.2
| Miami Heat wins 121-111
| |
| 5/4/2021 8 PM | Dallas Mavericks @ Miami Heat
by 0.5 | Miami Heat win 113.7-111.6 won 53.45% of sims, average margin of 2.0
| Dallas Mavericks wins 127-113
| |
| 5/7/2021 8 PM | Minnesota Timberwolves @ Miami Heat
by 8 | Miami Heat win 117.2-110.1 won 67.85% of sims, average margin of 7.1
| Miami Heat wins 121-112
| |
| 5/9/2021 1 PM | Miami Heat @ Boston Celtics
by 1 | Boston Celtics win 116.2-109.5 won 64.31% of sims, average margin of 6.7
| Miami Heat wins 130-124
| |
| 5/11/2021 7:30 PM | Miami Heat @ Boston Celtics
by 1.5 | Boston Celtics win 116.9-110.3 won 65.40% of sims, average margin of 6.6
| Miami Heat wins 129-121
| |
| 5/13/2021 7:30 PM | Philadelphia 76ers @ Miami Heat
by 1 | Miami Heat win 113.7-111.3 won 54.98% of sims, average margin of 2.4
| Miami Heat wins 106-94
| |
| 5/15/2021 8 PM | Miami Heat @ Milwaukee Bucks
by 4 | Milwaukee Bucks win 120.8-110.3 won 73.34% of sims, average margin of 10.6
| Milwaukee Bucks wins 122-108
| |
| 5/16/2021 8 PM | Miami Heat @ Detroit Pistons
by 3 | Miami Heat win 112.3-105.1 won 66.26% of sims, average margin of 7.2
| Miami Heat wins 120-107
| |
| 5/22/2021 2 PM | Miami Heat @ Milwaukee Bucks
by 5.5 | Milwaukee Bucks win 120.4-110.6 won 69.89% of sims, average margin of 9.8
| Milwaukee Bucks wins 109-107
| |
| 5/24/2021 7:30 PM | Miami Heat @ Milwaukee Bucks
by 5 | Milwaukee Bucks win 119.6-109.0 won 71.67% of sims, average margin of 10.6
| Milwaukee Bucks wins 132-98
| |
| 5/27/2021 7:30 PM | Milwaukee Bucks @ Miami Heat
by 1.5 | Milwaukee Bucks win 117.6-114.3 won 59.40% of sims, average margin of 3.4
| Milwaukee Bucks wins 113-84
| |
| 5/29/2021 1:30 PM | Milwaukee Bucks @ Miami Heat
by 4.5 | Miami Heat win 115.6-115.0 won 48.74% of sims, average margin of 0.7
| Milwaukee Bucks wins 120-103
| |
