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| Opponent | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 5-5 |
| Top 25 | 0-0 |
| 26-50 | 0-0 |
| 51-100 | 0-2 |
| 101-200 | 1-1 |
| 200+ | 4-2 |
| Texas State has not been ranked this season on NCAAGameSim.com |
| Date/Time | Matchup/Odds | Prediction | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/3/2025 7 PM |  Texas State @ Bowling Green  by 4.5 | Bowling Green wins 83-48 | ||
| 11/5/2025 8 PM | Texas A&M-San Antonio @ Texas State | Texas State wins 114-55 | ||
| 11/8/2025 2 PM | Texas State @ Tulane  by 12.5 | Tulane wins 79-71 | ||
| 11/12/2025 8 PM |  TX-San Antonio @ Texas State by 1.5 | TX-San Antonio wins 71.6-68.0 won 62.97% of sims, average margin of 3.6 | Texas State wins 80-69 |  |
| 11/15/2025 5 PM |  Texas Southern @ Texas State by 7.5 | Texas State wins 74.1-57.9 won 90.18% of sims, average margin of 16.1 | Texas State wins 77-67 |   |
| 11/18/2025 8 PM |  Abilene Christian @ Texas State by 1.5 | Texas State wins 66.4-66.4 won 49.38% of sims, average margin of 0.0 | Texas State wins 63-49 | |
| 11/21/2025 8 PM |  Little Rock @ Texas State by 4.5 | Texas State wins 63.6-61.2 won 57.34% of sims, average margin of 2.4 | Texas State wins 65-56 | |
| 11/24/2025 7 PM | Texas Lutheran @ Texas State | Texas State wins 93-41 | ||
| 11/28/2025 2 PM | Texas State @ Seattle U by 6.5 | Seattle U wins 84.5-66.7 won 90.83% of sims, average margin of 17.7 Prediction | Seattle U wins 66-52 |  |
| 11/29/2025 2 PM |  Lehigh @ Texas State by 1.5 | Texas State wins 63.0-59.8 won 61.67% of sims, average margin of 3.2 | Lehigh wins 78-74 | |
| 12/3/2025 9 PM | Texas State @ Rice  by 2.5 | Rice wins 71.2-62.7 won 75.28% of sims, average margin of 8.5 | Rice wins 77-72 | |
| 12/10/2025 8:30 PM |  Southern University @ Texas State by 2.5 | Southern University wins 75.5-68.6 won 70.31% of sims, average margin of 6.9 | Texas State wins 86-83 | |
| 12/17/2025 8:30 PM |  Arkansas State @ Texas State | | ||
| 12/20/2025 3:30 PM |  South Alabama @ Texas State | | ||
| 12/31/2025 2 PM | Texas State @ Troy  | | ||
| 1/3/2026 3:30 PM | Texas State @ ULM  | | ||
| 1/8/2026 | Texas State @ Southern Miss  | | ||
| 1/10/2026 | Texas State @ Arkansas State | | ||
| 1/14/2026 |  Louisiana @ Texas State | | ||
| 1/17/2026 | Southern Miss @ Texas State | | ||
| 1/22/2026 | Texas State @ Coastal Carolina  | | ||
| 1/24/2026 | Texas State @ James Madison  | | ||
| 1/28/2026 |  Marshall @ Texas State | | ||
| 1/31/2026 |  Old Dominion @ Texas State | | ||
| 2/4/2026 | Texas State @ Georgia Southern  | | ||
| 2/11/2026 | Troy @ Texas State | | ||
| 2/14/2026 | ULM @ Texas State | | ||
| 2/19/2026 | Texas State @ South Alabama | | ||
| 2/21/2026 | Texas State @ Louisiana | | ||
| 2/27/2026 |  Appalachian State @ Texas State | |
Legend/Totals
| Correct Picks | 5 (62.5%) |
| Incorrect Picks | 3 (37.5%) |
| Final Margin within 5 Pts | 2 (25.0%) |
| Beat the Spread | 3 (37.5%) |
