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| Opponent | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 8-3 |
| Top 25 | 0-1 |
| 26-50 | 0-1 |
| 51-100 | 0-0 |
| 101-200 | 3-1 |
| 200+ | 5-0 |
| Dayton has not been ranked this season on NCAAGameSim.com |
| Date/Time | Matchup/Odds | Prediction | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/3/2025 7 PM |  Canisius @ Dayton  by 25.5 | Dayton wins 88-48 | ||
| 11/8/2025 2 PM |  UMBC @ Dayton by 23.5 | Dayton wins 77-71 | ||
| 11/11/2025 7 PM | Dayton @ Cincinnati  by 6.5 | Dayton wins 71.0-67.5 won 60.31% of sims, average margin of 3.5 | Cincinnati wins 74-62 |  |
| 11/15/2025 7:30 PM |  Bethune-Cookman @ Dayton by 18.5 | Bethune-Cookman wins 73.1-68.8 won 63.75% of sims, average margin of 4.3 | Dayton wins 91-82 |  |
| 11/19/2025 7:30 PM | Dayton @ Marquette  by 5.5 | Marquette wins 74.3-63.7 won 80.78% of sims, average margin of 10.7 | Dayton wins 77-71 | |
| 11/22/2025 2 PM |  North Carolina Central @ Dayton by 28.5 | Dayton wins 71.5-66.8 won 62.92% of sims, average margin of 4.7 | Dayton wins 74-55 |  |
| 11/27/2025 7:30 PM |  Georgetown @ Dayton by 2.5 | Dayton wins 74.6-72.9 won 54.53% of sims, average margin of 1.7 | Dayton wins 84-79 |  |
| 11/28/2025 9:30 PM |  BYU (12) @ Dayton by 10.5 | BYU wins 83.8-62.7 won 94.44% of sims, average margin of 21.1 | BYU wins 83-79 | |
| 12/2/2025 7 PM |  East Tennessee State @ Dayton by 11.5 | Dayton wins 78.7-68.1 won 79.38% of sims, average margin of 10.6 | Dayton wins 88-71 | |
| 12/6/2025 12 PM | Dayton @ Virginia  by 6.5 | Virginia wins 81.9-70.4 won 81.74% of sims, average margin of 11.5 | Virginia wins 86-73 | |
| 12/13/2025 7 PM |  North Florida @ Dayton by 29.5 | Dayton wins 88.7-69.6 won 90.32% of sims, average margin of 19.1 | Dayton wins 84-61 | |
| 12/16/2025 |  FSU @ Dayton | | ||
| 12/20/2025 |  Liberty @ Dayton | | ||
| 12/31/2025 |  Fordham @ Dayton | | ||
| 1/3/2026 | Dayton @ Loyola-Chicago  | | ||
| 1/6/2026 |  George Washington @ Dayton | | ||
| 1/13/2026 | Dayton @ Duquesne  | | ||
| 1/16/2026 | Loyola-Chicago @ Dayton | | ||
| 1/21/2026 | Dayton @ La Salle  | | ||
| 1/24/2026 | Dayton @ Saint Joseph's  | | ||
| 1/27/2026 |  Rhode Island @ Dayton | | ||
| 1/30/2026 | Dayton @ Saint Louis  | | ||
| 2/3/2026 |  St. Bonaventure @ Dayton | | ||
| 2/6/2026 | Dayton @ VCU  | | ||
| 2/15/2026 |  Davidson @ Dayton | | ||
| 2/18/2026 | Dayton @ George Mason  | | ||
| 2/21/2026 | Duquesne @ Dayton | | ||
| 2/24/2026 | Saint Louis @ Dayton | | ||
| 2/27/2026 | Dayton @ George Washington | | ||
| 3/3/2026 | Dayton @ Richmond  | | ||
| 3/6/2026 | VCU @ Dayton | |
Legend/Totals
| Correct Picks | 6 (66.7%) |
| Incorrect Picks | 3 (33.3%) |
| Final Margin within 5 Pts | 3 (33.3%) |
| Beat the Spread | 5 (55.6%) |
