| Date/Time | Matchup/Odds | Prediction | Actual | Result |
|---|
| 11/4/2025 6 PM | Penn State-York @ UMBC 
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| UMBC wins 74-53
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| 11/8/2025 2 PM | UMBC @ Dayton 
by 23.5 |
| Dayton wins 77-71
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| 11/11/2025 6 PM | UMBC @ Morgan State 
by 3.5 | UMBC wins 71.1-70.7 won 50.00% of sims, average margin of 0.4 Prediction
| UMBC wins 81-79
|  |
| 11/16/2025 12 PM | Wagner @ UMBC 
by 7.5 | UMBC wins 67.3-53.4 won 84.25% of sims, average margin of 13.9 Prediction
| UMBC wins 71-70
|  |
| 11/19/2025 7 PM | UMBC @ George Washington 
by 23.5 | George Washington wins 81.0-60.1 won 96.25% of sims, average margin of 21.0 Prediction
| George Washington wins 89-52
|  |
| 11/24/2025 6 PM | Notre Dame (MD) @ UMBC 
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| UMBC wins 102-52
| |
| 11/29/2025 2 PM | Delaware State @ UMBC 
by 11 | UMBC wins 72.7-56.3 won 86.88% of sims, average margin of 16.4 Prediction
| UMBC wins 71-57
|  |
| 12/3/2025 8 PM | UMBC @ Georgetown 
by 17.5 | Georgetown wins 79.2-65.2 won 82.50% of sims, average margin of 14.0 Prediction
| Georgetown wins 90-81
|  |
| 12/6/2025 12 PM | UMBC @ Bucknell 
by 3.5 | Bucknell wins 77.9-65.6 won 81.52% of sims, average margin of 12.3 Prediction
| UMBC wins 73-66
|  |
| 12/9/2025 5 PM | Buffalo @ UMBC 
by 2 | Buffalo wins 75.1-70.3 won 63.04% of sims, average margin of 4.8 Prediction
| Buffalo wins 83-79
|  |
| 12/12/2025 6 PM | Army @ UMBC 
by 6 | UMBC wins 74.2-73.4 won 52.50% of sims, average margin of 0.9 Prediction
| Army wins 63-60
|  |
| 12/21/2025 3 PM | UMBC @ South Florida 
by 21.5 | South Florida wins 91.2-64.8 won 96.61% of sims, average margin of 26.5 Prediction
| South Florida wins 94-69
|  |
| 12/29/2025 6 PM | UMBC @ Coppin State 
by 11 | UMBC wins 72.0-70.0 won 52.50% of sims, average margin of 2.0 Prediction
| UMBC wins 93-59
|  |
| 1/8/2026 6 PM | Maine @ UMBC 
by 6.5 | UMBC wins 71.7-64.6 won 71.17% of sims, average margin of 7.1 Prediction
| UMBC wins 69-62
|  |
| 1/10/2026 1 PM | New Hampshire @ UMBC 
by 6.5 | New Hampshire wins 69.7-67.2 won 59.23% of sims, average margin of 2.5 Prediction
| UMBC wins 75-74
|  |
| 1/15/2026 6 PM | UMBC @ Bryant 
by 3.5 | Bryant wins 70.2-68.1 won 56.71% of sims, average margin of 2.1 Prediction
| Bryant wins 79-74
|  |
| 1/19/2026 2 PM | UMBC @ Binghamton 
by 5.5 | UMBC wins 72.4-68.8 won 60.91% of sims, average margin of 3.5 Prediction
| UMBC wins 78-60
|  |
| 1/22/2026 6 PM | NJIT @ UMBC 
by 8.5 | UMBC wins 70.4-67.4 won 58.72% of sims, average margin of 3.0 Prediction
| UMBC wins 87-74
|  |
| 1/24/2026 1 PM | UMass Lowell @ UMBC 
by 1.5 | UMBC wins 73.5-73.4 won 49.79% of sims, average margin of 0.1 Prediction
| UMBC wins 79-56
|  |
| 1/29/2026 7 PM | UMBC @ Vermont 
by 8.5 | Vermont wins 79.0-69.9 won 75.83% of sims, average margin of 9.1 Prediction
| Vermont wins 64-55
|  |
| 1/31/2026 7 PM | UMBC @ Albany 
by 1.5 | Albany wins 76.4-71.3 won 63.50% of sims, average margin of 5.1 Prediction
| UMBC wins 68-65
|  |
| 2/5/2026 6 PM | Binghamton @ UMBC 
by 12.5 | UMBC wins 74.5-65.0 won 75.90% of sims, average margin of 9.5 Prediction
| UMBC wins 79-62
|  |
| 2/12/2026 6 PM | UMBC @ Maine 
by 4 | UMBC wins 70.3-68.2 won 55.53% of sims, average margin of 2.1 Prediction
| UMBC wins 78-62
|  |
| 2/14/2026 1 PM | UMBC @ New Hampshire 
| New Hampshire wins 74.0-70.7 won 58.00% of sims, average margin of 3.3 Prediction | Simulate
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| 2/19/2026 6 PM | Vermont @ UMBC 
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| 2/21/2026 1 PM | Albany @ UMBC 
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| 2/26/2026 6 PM | Bryant @ UMBC 
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| 2/28/2026 2 PM | UMBC @ UMass Lowell 
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| 3/3/2026 6 PM | UMBC @ NJIT 
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